African urbanization trends and prospects

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dc.contributor.authorBocquier, Philippeen_US
dc.contributor.authorMukandila, Andrew Kabuluen_US
dc.date.accessioned2014-05-06T22:35:39Z
dc.date.available2014-05-06T22:35:39Z
dc.date.issued2013-09-11en_US
dc.descriptionThe paper aims at analysing and projecting urbanization trends using United Nations, World Urbanization Prospects data, 2007 Revision. A third order polynomial is used to model urban-rural growth difference from 1950 to 2005 country by country. The results of the model are compared to UN projection on urban growth for the period 2010-2050. Using the new model, the African urban population is projected to stagnate around its current level below 40%, with little variations by regions up to 2050, while the UN predicts 62%. The findings suggest that UN projections are excessively high and do not match the level of economic and social development in Africa.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.bioline.org.br/abstract?id=ep11031en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.bioline.org.br/epen_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://www.uaps-uepa.orgen_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/1807/49271
dc.languageenen_US
dc.locationOrigin of publication: Ghanaen_US
dc.publication.journalAfrican Population Studies (ISSN: 0850-5780) Vol 25 Num 2en_US
dc.publisherUnion for African Population Studiesen_US
dc.rights.holderCopyright 2011 - African Population Studiesen_US
dc.titleAfrican urbanization trends and prospectsen_US
dc.typeArticleen_US

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